The emerging Persian Gulf conflict, though 4,000 kilometers distant, feels immediate for Europe.
The Middle East escalation produces numerous losers but identifies one evident beneficiary near Norway's northern borders: Russian President Vladimir Putin, according to Handelsblatt.
The Kremlin leader gains a war premium through elevated oil prices.
Additionally, the US administration provides a temporary sanctions waiver as an extra incentive.
The unilateral US moves—initially the assault on Iran, followed by flexibility toward Russia—have surprised Europeans.
The German chancellor has displayed minimal restraint in expressing frustration in Norway.
Fissures in the transatlantic partnership are reemerging.
With NATO fragmented and America preoccupied, the Persian Gulf dispute gives Russia an opportunity to probe European determination.
This scenario poses extreme hazards, as US President Donald Trump's conflict becomes Europe's burden and the extended duration amplifies the dangers.